After winning the Republican primaries and caucuses in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, Trump on Saturday achieved what is known as the ‘GOP caucus trifecta’, decisively defeating Nikki Haley in Michigan, Missouri, and Idaho. Trump’s ‘clean sheet’ record was ruined on Sunday when former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley beat Trump in DC, marking Haley’s first win since the start of the Republican primaries.
Trump is already looking forward to the general election
Many experts already see Trump as the Republican nominee, facing Biden in what would seem to be a direct rematch between the two. In recent rallies, Trump changed the rhetoric, and Haley, the only remaining challenger in the primaries, is not his focus anymore. Instead, Trump now speaks more against Biden, as he is expected to secure the nomination after Super Tuesday, when Haley will likely suspend her campaign.
Key swing states in the focus
Each major political party in the U.S. relies on several states for victory in the November presidential election. However, a small number of states remain unpredictable. Known as “swing states,” these regions have politically divided populations that have alternated between Democratic and Republican preferences in recent elections. These battleground states will be the focus of campaign strategies, including visits, advertisements, and dedicated staffing. Ultimately, these states often determine the outcome of the general election.
Trump beats Biden in all seven key swing states
In a recent poll, more people in seven key states seem to prefer former President Trump over President Biden for the upcoming election. These states, which include Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, and Wisconsin, are crucial for deciding who wins the general election and who will lead the country in the years to come.
The poll by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult showed that in these states, more voters are leaning towards Trump. A lot of them are worried about Biden being too old, while others think Trump poses a risk. The numbers show that 48% would vote for Trump and 43% for Biden across these states.
Trump has the biggest lead in North Carolina
Trump’s biggest lead is in North Carolina, where he’s 9 points ahead, with 50% of people supporting him compared to Biden’s 41%. North Carolina, which Trump won in the 2020 election, is also the only place where he got support from at least half of the people polled this time. In the other states, neither Trump nor Biden got a majority of the support.
Trump leads Biden in all other key states that Biden won in 2020
The poll also shows Trump leading Biden by 6 points in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, all states that Biden won in the last election. In Wisconsin and Michigan, states that Biden won in the last election, the competition is tighter. In Wisconsin, Biden is behind by 4 points and in Michigan by 2 points, with Trump getting 46% support and Biden 44%.
Bloomberg News pointed out that a majority of voters in these states think Biden is too old. The poll shows that 8 out of 10 people agreed on Biden’s age. Meanwhile, about 6 out of 10 people see Trump as dangerous. However, more people see Trump as mentally fit compared to Biden.
This survey was conducted online from February 12 to 20 and published last week, involving 4,955 voters from these seven important states. The error margin for the overall results is plus or minus 1 percentage point.
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For individual states, the error margin varies: it’s plus or minus 3 points in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania; 4 points in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin; and 5 points in Nevada.
